Week 11 NFL Picks


Ismael 83-47
Nick 81-49

Tennessee Titans vs. Pittsburgh Steelers


After slow starts to the season for both teams, they have each won four games in a row. The spread on this game is -7 in favor of the Steelers, which shocks me as I think this game will be closer than that. The Steelers’ defense is the reason for their success this season and I think that will continue tonight. On the other hand, the Titans have struggled against the pass a bit this season and I think Ben Roethlisberger has his biggest game of the year on TNF.

Score: Steelers 24, Titans 20


Finally, order was restored last week on TNF as the Seahawks, the better team, beat the Cardinals on the road. Now we have two division leading teams squaring off, despite some inconsistent play from both of their QBs. Titans tried to beef up their secondary in the last off-season, and they got better but still aren’t that great which WRs like Antonio Brown and Juju Smith-Schuster will take advantage of. With all the unpredictable things that happen on TNF, think it’s wise to pick the better team at home here.

Score: Steelers 27, Titans 20

Kansas City Chiefs vs. New York Giants


This is the first time since 1998 that the Giants are a double-digit underdog at home. That is how bad their season has been. They gave zero effort last week against a bad 49ers team. The 49ers are currently 26th in football in points scored per game and they dropped 31 on the Giants. The Chiefs are scoring 28.1 points per game. Yeah, this one is going to get ugly fast.

Score: Chiefs 42, Giants 23


I said last week that the Giants were better than a 49ers, which should bring them a victory, and then they lost. They have completely given up and a game against the Chiefs will show just that. I expect Alex Smith, Travis Kelce, Kareem Hunt, and Tyreek Hill all to have monster games here.

Score: Chiefs 33, Giants 20

Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears


The Lions looked like contenders, then lost 3 in a row, and now have won back-to-back games. They will be facing a good Chicago defense this week, which may cause them some problems as the Browns’ D did to start last week’s game. However, the Bears’ offense, led by Mitch Trubisky, is almost non-existent.

Score: Lions 23, Bears 14


The Lions won last week against the Browns but not without giving up more than 20 points while the Bears lost at home to the Pack. The Lions in my opinion are a superior offense in comparison to the Bears despite Chicago boasting a good defense this year. Lions need to start making up some ground if they want to reach the playoffs, and a win here could do just that.

Score: Lions 24, Bears 20

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Cleveland Browns


The Jaguars squeaked out a win in overtime last week against the Chargers on a field goal that was blocked, but went through the uprights. Talk about lucky. The Browns will be getting back Corey Coleman this week, but their offense will struggle MIGHTILY against one of the best defenses in football. Good luck DeShone Kizer, you’ll need it.

Score: Jaguars 20, Browns 7


This might seem like a trap game, with the Jags needing OT to win last week against the Chargers and with the Browns desperate to get a win at home this week. Jacksonville’s defense is just too good to allow many points and will keep the Browns off the field. If no one’s noticed, the Browns run defense has been pretty good so with Fournette having a down game last week, the jags might need to rely on Blake Bortles more to make some plays. I think he does just think against a putrid Browns pass defense and they grab a win in Cleveland.

Score: Jaguars 30, Browns 14

Baltimore Ravens vs. Green Bay Packers


Brett Hundley did his best Aaron Rodgers impression on a late touchdown pass on the run to Davante Adams last week. They are going up against a Ravens’ defense that is 3rd in the league in passing yards allowed per game. On the other hand, the Ravens are letting up 125.9 rushing yards per game, which ranks at 28th in the league. The bad news for the Packers, they are already without RB Aaron Jones and may be without RB Ty Montgomery. The Ravens offense is abysmal, so I think this will be a low-scoring affair.

Score: Ravens 17, Packers 13


This here is a toss-up. You have the Ravens fresh off a bye week and the Packers returning home after beating the Bears in Chicago. For me this more hangs off the balance of if Ty Montgomery can suit up to play, as the Ravens are in the bottom 5 in rushing yards allowed per game this season. It looks like it’ll be a game-time decision, so I’m banking on that he sits and forces Brett Hundley to go against that vaunted pass defense who has given up the 3rd fewest passing yard per game this season. The Ravens have struggled away from home this year, but with the Packers limited in options I can see them leaving Lambeau with a W.

Score: Ravens 20, Packers 17

Arizona Cardinals vs. Houston Texans


Two teams who are struggling and decimated by injuries. Neither defense is playing very good, but both offenses are without key players. The Cardinals may be starting third string QB Blaine Gabbert this week and there is your disadvantage.

Score: Texans 28, Cardinals 20


This is an ugly pone, with Drew Stanton and the Cards facing against Tom Savage and the Texans. The Cards offense looked fairly decent last weeks against Seattle while it seems like its just DeAndre Hopkins doing anything for the Texans. Houston’s secondary is inferior to that of the Cards secondary lead by Patrick Peterson in my opinion, so Larry Fitzgerald should have a big game this week. Cards win by a field goal.

Score: Cardinals 24, Texans 21

Los Angeles Rams vs. Minnesota Vikings


The Vikings have been using their third string QB for almost the whole season and they are 7-2. The Rams were one of the worst teams in football last year and they are 7-2 with the highest scoring offense in the league. Are there any bigger surprises in football? This is going to be a great game to watch. A dynamic offense going up against a tough defense. The advantage lies with the Rams’ passing defense stepping it up over the past few games.

Score: Rams 31, Vikings 28


A game between two 7-2 teams, this should be good. I believe I said last week that Jared Goff and Robert Woods had this special connection that would lead both of them going off last week and they did just that against the Texans. Do they replicate that this week? Short answer is no, a longer answer is that they’ll each still have decent games but it’s hard to replicate last weeks effort. The Vikings are on a much different tier than the Texans in terms of defense, but it’s their offense that has surprised more people this year with Case Keenum at QB. Still I think the Rams are on another level right now that is hard to match, so I see a close win on the road.

Score: Rams 28, Vikings 27

Washington Redskins vs. New Orleans Saints


The Redskins struggled last week to stop the Vikings offense. This week they will be going up against a Saints’ offense who is top 5 in almost every statistical category. They have been relying heavily on their two-headed monster of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara. If that doesn’t work, the Redskins will have to try and stop Drew Brees and the Saints passing attack. Have fun, Washington.

Score: Saints 33, Redskins 27


The Saints lead by Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara ran circles around the Bills last week while the Redskins lost a close one against the Vikings. Once again, the Saints defense has been much better over the last few weeks and should have success this week with Rob Kelley out for Washington. Saints are playing well, don’t see them stopping this week.

Score: Saints 30, Redskins 24

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Miami Dolphins


Two teams who are playing just bad football. The Bucs will be without Jameis Winston once again, so they will be looking to Ryan Fitzpatrick to lead them to another victory. The advantage for the Bucs is that they will be going up against the worst offense in the league. Can Fitz do just enough like he did last week?

Score: Buccaneers 17, Dolphins 14


Well the Bucs somehow only allowed 10 points against the Jets last week while the Dolphins were wiped out by the Panthers. The tale of two sub-par QBs and two struggling defenses. I’ll give the edge to the Dolphins who haven’t looked as bad in their losses this year, besides that TNF game against Baltimore, and have multiple weapons to throw out on the field. I also trust their defense a little more to get some stops, leading to a win at home.

Score: Dolphins 26, Buccaneers 23

Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Chargers


The Nathan Peterman ERA is underway in Buffalo. After one bad game, Tyrod Taylor has been pulled as the Bills’ starting QB. There is a possibility that the Chargers go into this game without their starting QB, Philip Rivers, as he has concussion symptoms. I’m expecting LeSean McCoy to run all over the last ranked rushing defense in football this week.

Score: Bills 24, Chargers 23


The Bills got humiliated last week and are now staring rookie QB Nate Peterman and faces the Chargers in his first game. There will be growing pains which means good things for the Chargers defense and I think they win this one.

Score: Chargers 23, Bills 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Denver Broncos


Wow, the Broncos suck. They have lost 5 straight games after a 3-1 start to the season, and I am expecting a 6th straight loss this week. The Bengals are not much better, but at least they seem to be competing more than the Broncos are.

Score: Bengals 17, Broncos 14

Ugh, another ugly game. Broncos lost big against the Pats last week while the Bengals lost a close one in Tennessee. The Bengals offense outside of A.J. Green isn’t good and the Broncos will take advantage of that. Brock Osweiler does enough to pull away with a win.

Score: Broncos 17 Bengals 14

New England Patriots vs. Oakland Raiders


I was expecting so much more from the Raiders this year, as I’m sure most people were. The Patriots are on fire as they have won five straight games and they do not look like they’re slowing down anytime soon. The Patriots are scoring the 4th most points per game, while the Raiders are giving up the 9th most points per game. Does not look good for Oakland.

Score: Patriots 33, Raiders 27


The Pats are once again firing on all cylinders, while the Raiders are coming off a bye. This game is technically a home game for the Raiders, although it’s being played in Mexico, which should favor the Pats a bit more. The Patriots are just too good so I can picture them dropping this one. Look for Rex Burkhead in DFS to have a big game here.

Score: Patriots 31, Raiders 24

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys


Dak Prescott was abused by the Falcons defensive line in last week’s game. He was without LT Tyron Smith and starting RB Ezekiel Elliott and it showed. The Eagles are the best in the league against the run, so Dak is going to have to beat them on his own. The Cowboys also have to stop the second highest scoring offense in the league. It is not looking too well for the Boys.

Score: Eagles 31, Cowboys 20


Eagles are coming off a bye and the best record in the league while the Cowboys got beat pretty bad in Atlanta last week. Dallas is dealing with injuries on the OL and will still be without Ezekiel Elliot due to suspensions. I’m just really digging the way the Eagles have been playing lately and they will show this week against a division rival that they are in fact for real.

Score: Eagles 28, Cowboys 24

Atlanta Falcons vs. Seattle Seahawks


The Falcons dominated a good offensive line last week, and they will be going up against an atrocious offensive line this week. Will we see them dominate the line of scrimmage once again? They will be without star RB Devonta Freeman, but Tevin Coleman should be able to fill his shoes with ease. This is going to be a good Monday Night Football game. Winning in Seattle is no easy task.

Score: Seahawks 23, Falcons 21


Each team grabbed wins last week and are looking to stay in the playoff hunt. Seattle looks to have lost Richard Sherman which is a blow to their secondary, but I think they can still weather the storm. Doug Baldwin should have plenty of success this week as well and any other pass-catchers on the team. Seahawks win on Monday Night.

Score: Seahawks 28, Falcons 23


Published by

Nicholas LoPrinzi

I'm a washed up D3 college baseball player who is pursuing their MBA in Accounting. I love baseball, basketball, and football; while rooting for the New York Mets, New York Knicks, and New York Giants. Most of the time it is full of misery. I have recently found a passion for writing about sports. I have posted a few articles for Last Word on Sports and I have now created my own website (the-sportstalk.com). You can check out my articles there and also follow the twitter account @_thesportstalk.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s